Strong Alpha Edge > 60%Moderate Value 50–60%< 50% Low Edge
WNBA — Prop Matrix
FanDuel Lines2026 Regular SeasonGame TotalsL5 TrackingTrue Probability is computed by running recent game distribution arrays directly against the FanDuel market line, layered with MettlesEdge micro-adjustments (stadium physics, weather density, short-rotation usage). Active 2026 regular-season tracking with pace-weighted game totals, expansion franchises, and live L5 game arrays.
Engine Calibrated & Active — Real-Time Analytics Sheet Engaged.
| Updated: August 01, 2026
📅 August 1, TBD EST
Market Insight Banner — DAL @ GSV
Public Split Proxy100% OVER / 0% UNDER public ticket proxy
Opening vs Closing VectorsAssists: open 50% baseline → close 5.5 · OVER steam (+5.6%) · Points: open 50% baseline → close 18.5 · OVER steam (+35.5%) · Rebounds: open 50% baseline → close 4.5 · OVER steam (+6.6%)
Institutional read: balanced handle — 3 active WNBA prop(s) tracked vs FanDuel closing marks.
Player / Matchup
Prop Type
FanDuel Line
MettlesEdge Prediction
True Probability
Edge Margin
Paige Bueckers (G) — DAL @ GSV
Points
18.5
OVER
87.76%
+35.46%
Paige Bueckers (G) — DAL @ GSV
Rebounds
4.5
OVER
58.90%
+6.60%
Paige Bueckers (G) — DAL @ GSV
Assists
5.5
OVER
57.89%
+5.59%
📅 August 1, TBD EST
Market Insight Banner — GSV vs DAL
Public Split Proxy67% OVER / 33% UNDER public ticket proxy
Opening vs Closing VectorsAssists: open 50% baseline → close 4.5 · OVER steam (+6.6%) · Points: open 50% baseline → close 17.5 · OVER steam (+22.8%) · Rebounds: open 50% baseline → close 3.5 · UNDER steam (+-9.8%)
Institutional read: balanced handle — 3 active WNBA prop(s) tracked vs FanDuel closing marks.
Player / Matchup
Prop Type
FanDuel Line
MettlesEdge Prediction
True Probability
Edge Margin
Kelsey Plum (G) — GSV vs DAL
Points
17.5
OVER
75.13%
+22.83%
Kelsey Plum (G) — GSV vs DAL
Rebounds
3.5
UNDER
42.50%
+-9.80%
Kelsey Plum (G) — GSV vs DAL
Assists
4.5
OVER
58.90%
+6.60%
📅 August 1, TBD EST
Market Insight Banner — IND @ NYL
Public Split Proxy67% OVER / 33% UNDER public ticket proxy
Opening vs Closing VectorsAssists: open 50% baseline → close 6.0 · UNDER steam (+-1.2%) · Points: open 50% baseline → close 16.5 · OVER steam (+22.9%) · Rebounds: open 50% baseline → close 7.5 · UNDER steam (+6.9%)
Institutional read: balanced handle — 6 active WNBA prop(s) tracked vs FanDuel closing marks.
Player / Matchup
Prop Type
FanDuel Line
MettlesEdge Prediction
True Probability
Edge Margin
Caitlin Clark (G) — IND @ NYL
Points
17.5
OVER
75.33%
+23.03%
Caitlin Clark (G) — IND @ NYL
Rebounds
5.5
UNDER
43.88%
+-8.42%
Caitlin Clark (G) — IND @ NYL
Assists
8.5
OVER
59.77%
+7.47%
Aliyah Boston (C) — IND @ NYL
Points
15.5
OVER
75.09%
+22.79%
Aliyah Boston (C) — IND @ NYL
Rebounds
9.5
OVER
74.53%
+22.23%
Aliyah Boston (C) — IND @ NYL
Assists
3.5
UNDER
42.50%
+-9.80%
📅 August 1, TBD EST
Market Insight Banner — LVA @ CHI
Public Split Proxy100% OVER / 0% UNDER public ticket proxy
Opening vs Closing VectorsAssists: open 50% baseline → close 2.5 · OVER steam (+5.5%) · Points: open 50% baseline → close 24.5 · OVER steam (+35.5%) · Rebounds: open 50% baseline → close 10.5 · OVER steam (+22.6%)
Institutional read: balanced handle — 3 active WNBA prop(s) tracked vs FanDuel closing marks.
Player / Matchup
Prop Type
FanDuel Line
MettlesEdge Prediction
True Probability
Edge Margin
A'ja Wilson (F) — LVA @ CHI
Points
24.5
OVER
87.78%
+35.48%
A'ja Wilson (F) — LVA @ CHI
Rebounds
10.5
OVER
74.95%
+22.65%
A'ja Wilson (F) — LVA @ CHI
Assists
2.5
OVER
57.82%
+5.52%
📅 August 1, TBD EST
Market Insight Banner — MIN @ TOR
Public Split Proxy100% OVER / 0% UNDER public ticket proxy
Opening vs Closing VectorsAssists: open 50% baseline → close 3.5 · OVER steam (+4.2%) · Points: open 50% baseline → close 18.0 · OVER steam (+14.9%) · Rebounds: open 50% baseline → close 6.5 · OVER steam (+5.4%)
Institutional read: balanced handle — 6 active WNBA prop(s) tracked vs FanDuel closing marks.
Player / Matchup
Prop Type
FanDuel Line
MettlesEdge Prediction
True Probability
Edge Margin
Kayla McBride (G) — MIN @ TOR
Points
15.5
OVER
59.20%
+6.90%
Kayla McBride (G) — MIN @ TOR
Rebounds
3.5
OVER
56.84%
+4.54%
Kayla McBride (G) — MIN @ TOR
Assists
3.5
OVER
55.56%
+3.26%
Napheesa Collier (F) — MIN @ TOR
Points
20.5
OVER
75.24%
+22.94%
Napheesa Collier (F) — MIN @ TOR
Rebounds
9.5
OVER
58.59%
+6.29%
Napheesa Collier (F) — MIN @ TOR
Assists
3.5
OVER
57.52%
+5.22%
📅 August 1, TBD EST
Market Insight Banner — NYL @ PHO
Public Split Proxy100% OVER / 0% UNDER public ticket proxy
Opening vs Closing VectorsAssists: open 50% baseline → close 4.5 · OVER steam (+14.5%) · Points: open 50% baseline → close 18.0 · OVER steam (+22.9%) · Rebounds: open 50% baseline → close 6.5 · OVER steam (+6.4%)
Institutional read: balanced handle — 6 active WNBA prop(s) tracked vs FanDuel closing marks.
Player / Matchup
Prop Type
FanDuel Line
MettlesEdge Prediction
True Probability
Edge Margin
Breanna Stewart (F) — NYL @ PHO
Points
19.5
OVER
75.36%
+23.06%
Breanna Stewart (F) — NYL @ PHO
Rebounds
8.5
OVER
59.77%
+7.47%
Breanna Stewart (F) — NYL @ PHO
Assists
3.5
OVER
59.34%
+7.04%
Sabrina Ionescu (G) — NYL @ PHO
Points
16.5
OVER
75.11%
+22.81%
Sabrina Ionescu (G) — NYL @ PHO
Rebounds
4.5
OVER
57.71%
+5.41%
Sabrina Ionescu (G) — NYL @ PHO
Assists
5.5
OVER
74.32%
+22.02%
📅 August 1, TBD EST
Market Insight Banner — PHO vs NYL
Public Split Proxy67% OVER / 33% UNDER public ticket proxy
Opening vs Closing VectorsAssists: open 50% baseline → close 2.5 · OVER steam (+5.0%) · Points: open 50% baseline → close 16.5 · OVER steam (+22.8%) · Rebounds: open 50% baseline → close 4.5 · UNDER steam (+-9.6%)
Institutional read: balanced handle — 3 active WNBA prop(s) tracked vs FanDuel closing marks.
Player / Matchup
Prop Type
FanDuel Line
MettlesEdge Prediction
True Probability
Edge Margin
Kahleah Copper (F) — PHO vs NYL
Points
16.5
OVER
75.11%
+22.81%
Kahleah Copper (F) — PHO vs NYL
Rebounds
4.5
UNDER
42.69%
+-9.61%
Kahleah Copper (F) — PHO vs NYL
Assists
2.5
OVER
57.34%
+5.04%
📅 August 1, TBD EST
Market Insight Banner — SEA vs LVA
Public Split Proxy67% OVER / 33% UNDER public ticket proxy
Opening vs Closing VectorsAssists: open 50% baseline → close 5.5 · OVER steam (+4.5%) · Points: open 50% baseline → close 14.5 · OVER steam (+22.3%) · Rebounds: open 50% baseline → close 3.5 · UNDER steam (+-10.4%)
Institutional read: balanced handle — 3 active WNBA prop(s) tracked vs FanDuel closing marks.
Player / Matchup
Prop Type
FanDuel Line
MettlesEdge Prediction
True Probability
Edge Margin
Skylar Diggins-Smith (G) — SEA vs LVA
Points
14.5
OVER
74.64%
+22.34%
Skylar Diggins-Smith (G) — SEA vs LVA
Rebounds
3.5
UNDER
41.92%
+-10.38%
Skylar Diggins-Smith (G) — SEA vs LVA
Assists
5.5
OVER
56.84%
+4.54%
📅 August 1, TBD EST
Market Insight Banner — TOR vs MIN
Public Split Proxy33% OVER / 67% UNDER public ticket proxy
Opening vs Closing VectorsAssists: open 50% baseline → close 2.5 · UNDER steam (+-9.1%) · Points: open 50% baseline → close 13.5 · OVER steam (+22.3%) · Rebounds: open 50% baseline → close 6.5 · UNDER steam (+-10.4%)
Institutional read: balanced handle — 3 active WNBA prop(s) tracked vs FanDuel closing marks.
Player / Matchup
Prop Type
FanDuel Line
MettlesEdge Prediction
True Probability
Edge Margin
Janelle Salaun (F) — TOR vs MIN
Points
13.5
OVER
74.64%
+22.34%
Janelle Salaun (F) — TOR vs MIN
Rebounds
6.5
UNDER
41.92%
+-10.38%
Janelle Salaun (F) — TOR vs MIN
Assists
2.5
UNDER
43.16%
+-9.14%
📅 August 1, TBD EST
Market Insight Banner — LVA @ CHI
Public Split Proxy50% OVER / 50% UNDER public ticket proxy
Opening vs Closing VectorsGame Total: open 50% baseline → close 165.5 · OVER steam (+50.6%) · Pace / Travel Context: UNDER steam (+0.0% vs open)
Institutional read: balanced handle — 2 active WNBA prop(s) tracked vs FanDuel closing marks.
Player / Matchup
Prop Type
FanDuel Line
MettlesEdge Prediction
True Probability
Edge Margin
LVA @ CHI
Game Total
165.5
OVER
98.41%
+50.64%
LVA @ CHI
Pace / Travel Context
Proj 203.0
Rest 0d | 1523 mi
-3.80%
—
📅 August 1, TBD EST
Market Insight Banner — NYL @ PHO
Public Split Proxy50% OVER / 50% UNDER public ticket proxy
Opening vs Closing VectorsGame Total: open 50% baseline → close 165.5 · OVER steam (+58.7%) · Pace / Travel Context: UNDER steam (+0.0% vs open)
Institutional read: balanced handle — 2 active WNBA prop(s) tracked vs FanDuel closing marks.
Player / Matchup
Prop Type
FanDuel Line
MettlesEdge Prediction
True Probability
Edge Margin
NYL @ PHO
Game Total
165.5
OVER
99.17%
+58.67%
NYL @ PHO
Pace / Travel Context
Proj 209.0
Rest 0d | 2141 mi
-4.60%
—
MettlesEdge Sharp Insights distills the highest-variance game lines and player props into a concise institutional briefing.
📅 August 1, TBD EST
Featured Game LineOVER 18.5 POINTS — Paige Bueckers (G) [-110]
Matchup: DAL @ GSV With a controlled indoor environment favoring offense, both teams should thrive, leading to an uptick in scoring opportunities. Paige Bueckers is positioned to exploit defensive mismatches, enhancing her chances to exceed the 18.5-point total amidst favorable pace and shot volume. Expect an engaging contest where offensive efficiency drives the total over.
WNBA
📅 August 1, TBD EST
Featured Game LineOVER 17.5 POINTS — Kelsey Plum (G) [-110]
Matchup: GSV vs DAL With both teams showcasing potent offensive arsenals and the controlled indoor environment favoring scoring, expect a high-paced game that leans towards the OVER. Kelsey Plum's scoring potential is significant, with an expected points output well above the 17.5 line, supported by solid usage metrics and favorable matchups. The offensive conditions and Plum's ability to exploit defensive lapses should lead to an explosive scoring environment.
WNBA
📅 August 1, TBD EST
Featured Game LineOVER 17.5 POINTS — Caitlin Clark (G) [-110]
Matchup: IND @ NYL With both teams showcasing potent offensive arsenals and playing in a controlled indoor environment, the run environment favors an up-tempo game that should drive scoring. Caitlin Clark's ability to exploit defensive mismatches positions her well to surpass her points total, supported by high expected slugging metrics and favorable chase conditions. Look for both teams to capitalize on their scoring opportunities, pushing the total points well above the line.
WNBA
📅 August 1, TBD EST
Featured Game LineOVER 24.5 POINTS — A'ja Wilson (F) [-110]
Matchup: LVA @ CHI The controlled indoor environment favors a high-scoring affair, with both teams showcasing potent offensive arsenals that can exploit defensive weaknesses. A'ja Wilson's ability to dominate the scoring column, projected to exceed 24.5 points, aligns with the expected run environment, as her offensive output is bolstered by favorable matchups and a high usage rate. With both teams likely to push the pace and capitalize on their scoring opportunities, the OVER presents a compelling case in this matchup.
WNBA
📅 August 1, TBD EST
Featured Game LineOVER 20.5 POINTS — Napheesa Collier (F) [-110]
Matchup: MIN @ TOR With a controlled indoor environment, both teams are set for an offensive showcase, particularly benefiting from the favorable shooting conditions. Napheesa Collier's scoring potential, bolstered by her impressive metrics, aligns well with the expected pace of play, creating a strong case for the OVER 20.5 points. The matchup's dynamics suggest that both teams will leverage their offensive arsenals effectively, supporting a high-scoring affair.
WNBA
📅 August 1, TBD EST
Featured Game LineOVER 19.5 POINTS — Breanna Stewart (F) [-110]
Matchup: NYL @ PHO In a controlled indoor environment, both teams' offensive capabilities should flourish, particularly with Breanna Stewart and Sabrina Ionescu expected to exploit defensive matchups, driving the pace and enhancing scoring opportunities. The run environment favors an uptick in points, supported by expected high usage rates and favorable shooting conditions, making the OVER 19.5 points for Stewart a strong play. With both players likely to exceed their scoring averages, this game is set for an offensive showcase.
WNBA
📅 August 1, TBD EST
Featured Game LineOVER 16.5 POINTS — Kahleah Copper (F) [-110]
Matchup: PHO vs NYL In a controlled indoor environment, both teams possess potent offensive arsenals, making a high-scoring affair likely. Kahleah Copper's scoring ability aligns well with the expected pace, as she has consistently outperformed her points line, supported by favorable chase metrics. With both teams’ offensive conditions conducive to an OVER total, expect a dynamic game that pushes scoring limits.
WNBA
📅 August 1, TBD EST
Featured Game LineOVER 14.5 POINTS — Skylar Diggins-Smith (G) [-110]
Matchup: SEA vs LVA The indoor setting combined with both teams' offensive firepower and defensive vulnerabilities suggests a favorable run environment for the OVER, particularly with Skylar Diggins-Smith's scoring potential highlighted by her strong metrics. The controlled conditions will allow for efficient shooting, enhancing expected scoring output. With the game script favoring an uptempo pace, targeting Diggins-Smith to exceed 14.5 points aligns well with the anticipated high-scoring affair.
WNBA
📅 August 1, TBD EST
Featured Game LineOVER 13.5 POINTS — Janelle Salaun (F) [-110]
Matchup: TOR vs MIN The controlled indoor environment will enhance offensive efficiency, allowing both teams to exploit defensive weaknesses, which supports a high-scoring affair. Janelle Salaun's significant usage rate and favorable matchup indicate she can exceed her points line of 13.5, contributing to the overall scoring surge. With both teams likely to lean into their offensive arsenals, the game script aligns well for the OVER.